Ukraine Strikes Drain Russia's War Budget - Jason Jay Smart

[MrWowWow]

1. Encore! Encore! Encore!

Knock out Russia's refineries. The revenue from fossil fuel sales to China and India together, constitutes at least 70% of Russia's economy now. Wipe out that moneymaker, and you wipe out Russia's war machine and Russia's ability to sustain it.
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Reference Information:

Open sources put Ukraine’s FP-5 “Flamingo” (hybrid) cruise missile at ~3,000 km range, which covers most Russian refineries in European Russia from typical Ukrainian launch areas.

Reference distances (great-circle, km) I calculated from representative launch points:

Ryazan refinery — ~774 km from Kyiv; ~1,007 km from Mykolaiv.

Kirishi (KINEF) — ~1,008 km from Kyiv; ~1,389 km from Mykolaiv. Recent reports confirm repeated drone strikes there.

Novokuibyshevsk (Samara region) — ~1,361 km from Kyiv; ~1,443 km from Mykolaiv. (City/refinery location widely documented.)

Nizhnekamsk / Taneco — ~1,533 km from Kyiv; ~1,675 km from Mykolaiv.

Omsk refinery — ~2,873 km from Kyiv; ~2,972 km from Mykolaiv (inside 3,000 km from much of central/southern Ukraine; outside from far-west launch sites like Lviv at ~3,313 km).


Bottom line: if Flamingo achieves its claimed 3,000 km performance, it has the reach for virtually all refineries in European Russia—and even deep targets like Omsk from central/southern Ukraine. Actual strike success still depends on routing, air-defense density, guidance, and launch location.
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Specification:
FP-5 “Flamingo” Hybrid Cruise Missile

Origin: Ukraine — Fire Point

Weight: ~6,000 kg

Length: ~12–14 m

Wingspan: ~6 m

Propulsion: solid booster + turbofan (AI-25 family reported)

Speed: ~850–900 km/h cruise, ~950 km/h max

Range: ~3,000 km

Warhead: ~1,000–1,150 kg (high-explosive)

Guidance: GNSS/GPS + INS, anti-jamming claimed

Launcher: mobile trailer / rail launcher


Supporting URLs

Business Insider: https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-making-long-range-missile-flamingo-1000-kg-warhead-2025-8

IISS: https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/missile-dialogue-initiative/2025/09/ukraines-flamingos-take-to-the-skies

CEPA: https://cepa.org/article/flight-of-the-flamingo-spells-trouble-for-russia

MissileMatters: https://missilematters.substack.com/p/the-flamingos-have-arrived-what-ukraines

Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FP-5_Flamingo