Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Wiz Imp

(8,336 posts)
8. To be clear, "Employment" is defined completely differently
Tue Nov 25, 2025, 10:12 AM
22 hrs ago

between the Payroll survey and the Household survey. They are NOT measuring the same thing.

https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/ces_cps_trends.htm

National employment estimates from both the household and payroll surveys are published in the Employment Situation news release each month. The estimates differ because the surveys have distinct definitions of employment and distinct survey and estimation methods.


Comparison:
Employment concept
-Household Survey (CPS)-Estimate of employed people (multiple jobholders are counted only once). Includes people on unpaid leave from their jobs.
-Payroll Survey (CES)-Estimate of jobs (multiple jobholders are counted for each nonfarm payroll job). Includes only people who received pay for the reference pay period.

Employment inclusions and exclusions
-Household Survey (CPS)-Includes the unincorporated self-employed, unpaid family workers in family businesses, agriculture and related workers, workers in private households, and workers on unpaid leave. Excludes workers on furlough for the entire reference week, even if they receive pay for the furlough period (they are considered unemployed, on temporary layoff).
-Payroll Survey (CES)-Excludes all of the groups listed at left, except for the logging component of agriculture and related industries. Includes furloughed workers if they receive pay for any portion of the pay period that includes the furlough.

Recommendations

2 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Wooo hooo! So much winning, TACO!!! marble falls 23 hrs ago #1
The job loss numbers seem low - just like the inflation numbers. NoMoreRepugs 23 hrs ago #2
I trust numbers from ADP a hell of a lot more than anything from the govt. right now. groundloop 23 hrs ago #3
This is only "private payrolls" (private industry) BumRushDaShow 23 hrs ago #4
Remember popsdenver 16 hrs ago #16
I'm waiting for the recent jobs report Javaman 22 hrs ago #5
the ADP numbers cover about 20% of the nation's private workforce. progree 22 hrs ago #6
To be clear, "Employment" is defined completely differently Wiz Imp 22 hrs ago #8
Thank you. Yes, that's part of the problem -- the various surveys don't measure the same thing progree 21 hrs ago #9
Some info on how ADP calculates their report and differs from the government's report IronLionZion 20 hrs ago #11
Note this is not the normal monthly ADP report Wiz Imp 22 hrs ago #7
Busy busy day: Retail sales, Producer Price Index, Consumer Confidence 😱 progree 21 hrs ago #10
I didn't even know when the September PPI was going to release but it did today and I have the OP up BumRushDaShow 19 hrs ago #14
Thanks! 😊 /nt progree 19 hrs ago #15
Went to a wake yesterday, saw people I had not seen in many years, multiple people were laid Shellback Squid 20 hrs ago #12
The saddest part SS popsdenver 16 hrs ago #17
I hope they'll be ok, damn, too many people are suffering under this regime and the new AI boom Shellback Squid 15 hrs ago #18
Employment has been good for some years and not a big issue. Pay rates were the problem. twodogsbarking 19 hrs ago #13
it's a worldwide consensus of his handling of covid, dipshit wants credit while dissing the shot..omg! Shellback Squid 15 hrs ago #19
Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Private payroll losses ac...»Reply #8