Five Governors' Race Ratings Shift, All But One in Democrats' Direction

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BREAKING: Cook Political Report has moved the Ohio governor’s race between Democrat Amy Acton and Trump-endorsed MAGA Republican Vivek Ramaswamy from Lean Republican to a Toss Up.

Ohio is back in play for Democrats.

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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024
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2h
Cook Political Report ratings change

Ohio Governor
Lean Republican —> Toss up
——
Arizona Governor
Toss up —-> Lean Democrat
——
Maine Governor
Likely Democrat —-> Solid Democrat
——
New Mexico Governor
Likely Democrat —-> Solid Democrat
——
Oregon Governor
Safe Democrat —> Likely Democrat

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Five Governors’ Race Ratings Shift, All But One in Democrats’ Direction

July 10, 2026 Jessica Taylor

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/governors/five-governors-race-ratings-shift-all-one-democrats-direction


There’s no prize for the party that holds the majority of governorships, but Democrats may be poised to take the lead nationally for the first time since 2010.

That’s in part because the party now finds itself surprisingly competitive in several red-leaning states, including Ohio and Iowa, due to a favorable national climate and unique Democratic recruits.

As such, we are moving five governors’ race ratings, all but one in Democrats’ direction.

In Arizona, Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs’ significant fundraising advantage over polarizing likely GOP nominee Rep. Andy Biggs prompted us to move this race from the Toss Up column into Lean Democrat. Meanwhile, the open Ohio contest moves from Lean Republican to Toss Up despite Republican Vivek Ramaswamy’s significant spending edge.

The new ratings reflect a narrowing field for Republicans, who’ve also seen long-shot races in Maine and New Mexico move off the competitive map to Solid Democrat.

On the Democratic side, we moved Oregon in Republicans’ direction, from Solid to Likely Democrat. Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek’s sagging job approval ratings — and a less-than-commanding win in a
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