Five Governors' Race Ratings Shift, All But One in Democrats' Direction

[riversedge]

BREAKING: Cook Political Report has moved the Ohio governor’s race between Democrat Amy Acton and Trump-endorsed MAGA Republican Vivek Ramaswamy from Lean Republican to a Toss Up.

Ohio is back in play for Democrats.

Link to tweet

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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024
·
2h
Cook Political Report ratings change

Ohio Governor
Lean Republican —> Toss up
——
Arizona Governor
Toss up —-> Lean Democrat
——
Maine Governor
Likely Democrat —-> Solid Democrat
——
New Mexico Governor
Likely Democrat —-> Solid Democrat
——
Oregon Governor
Safe Democrat —> Likely Democrat

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Link to tweet

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Five Governors’ Race Ratings Shift, All But One in Democrats’ Direction

July 10, 2026 Jessica Taylor

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/governors/five-governors-race-ratings-shift-all-one-democrats-direction


There’s no prize for the party that holds the majority of governorships, but Democrats may be poised to take the lead nationally for the first time since 2010.

That’s in part because the party now finds itself surprisingly competitive in several red-leaning states, including Ohio and Iowa, due to a favorable national climate and unique Democratic recruits.

As such, we are moving five governors’ race ratings, all but one in Democrats’ direction.

In Arizona, Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs’ significant fundraising advantage over polarizing likely GOP nominee Rep. Andy Biggs prompted us to move this race from the Toss Up column into Lean Democrat. Meanwhile, the open Ohio contest moves from Lean Republican to Toss Up despite Republican Vivek Ramaswamy’s significant spending edge.

The new ratings reflect a narrowing field for Republicans, who’ve also seen long-shot races in Maine and New Mexico move off the competitive map to Solid Democrat.

On the Democratic side, we moved Oregon in Republicans’ direction, from Solid to Likely Democrat. Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek’s sagging job approval ratings — and a less-than-commanding win in a
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[MagickMuffin]

1. What no Texas info available

Greg Abbott is a corrupt and toxic man in more ways than one.

Gina Hinojosa is an ideal candidate for the job!

I came across this article.

Recent polling suggests the Texas governor’s race may be tightening, though Republican Gov. Greg Abbott remains the favorite in his bid for another term.

A Texas Public Opinion Research survey of 1,018 likely general election voters, conducted April 17–20, found Abbott leading Democrat Gina Hinojosa 48% to 43%, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. The poll also found Hinojosa leading among independents and moderates, while Abbott continued to benefit from Republican strength in a state.


https://www.tpr.org/podcast/the-source/2026-05-17/polls-show-hinojosa-narrowing-abbotts-lead-in-texas-governors-race

[Dawson Leery]

2. kick

[DET]

3. Why would Ohio vote for Ramaswamy?

He’s as slimy as Trump. Total con man. Plus Ohio is not known for its embrace of other cultures.