TX-SEN: Paxton (R) holds 9-point lead over Cornyn (R) in Texas Senate primary: Poll

[SARose]

5. I wouldn't count Cornyn out just yet

He is a country club republican vs the little weasel.

I think Texas Republicans may be sorry Paxton chose to run against Cornyn now.

Democrat Edges Out Leading Republican in Texas Senate Race—GOP Poll
Published May 15, 2025 at 11:32 AM EDT

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On the Republican side, a competitive primary is already brewing between Cornyn and Paxton, who is primarying the incumbent from the right. Paxton has cast Cornyn as insufficiently conservative, but Cornyn has been a well-known senator who has performed well against Democrats in the past.

A new poll from the Senate Leadership Fund, which is supporting Cornyn, showed Paxton leading Cornyn by 10 points in a hypothetical primary, Punchbowl News reported this week. The poll showed Paxton with 44 percent, Cornyn with 34 percent and GOP Representative Wesley Hunt, who has been floated as a potential candidate, with 19 percent.

But in the general election, Cornyn would fare best against Allred, who unsuccessfully challenged GOP Senator Ted Cruz in last year's election, according to the poll. Allred has not officially announced a 2026 Senate campaign, but is widely seen as a likely Democratic contender.

Cornyn led by six points, while Hunt led Allred by four points. Paxton, however, trailed Allred by one point, the poll found.

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