The Guardian: China's CO2 emissions have peaked or will in 2025, say 44% of experts in survey

[OKIsItJustMe]

4. China off track on emissions goals as energy demand offsets renewables push, researchers say

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-off-track-emissions-goals-energy-demand-offsets-renewables-push-2024-11-27/

China off track on emissions goals as energy demand offsets renewables push, researchers say
By Reuters
November 27, 2024 11:49 AM EST

Summary

• China CO2 emissions on course to rise 0.4% in 2024
• China falling further behind on 2025 carbon intensity target
• New climate targets to be submitted to U.N. before February

SINGAPORE, Nov 27 (Reuters) - China's emissions of carbon dioxide are on course to rise slightly this year, despite rapid progress on renewables and electric vehicles, putting a key 2025 climate target further out of reach, researchers said on Wednesday.

China wants to cut the amount of CO2 it produces per unit of economic growth by 18% over the 2021-2025 period, but it fell further behind this year as a result of rising energy demand, said the Helsinki-based Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) in its annual assessment.

China needs to cut emissions by 6% over 2024-2025 to catch up, but they are expected to inch up by a further 0.4% in 2024, according to CREA calculations, and radical measures will be required to meet the target next year.

Progress has been made in curbing new steel and coal-fired power capacity, and a rapid decline in cement production has also slowed emissions growth, but CO2 from a rapidly expanding coal-to-chemicals industry increased 12.5% this year, CREA said.

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The CREA report is also the source of the information included in the Guardian Article linked to in the OP.