US Senate seats that the Democrats have to win in 2026 in order to regain control of the US Senate. [View all]
Worst case scenario for Democrats in 2024 is losing WV and MT.
Democrats need to win every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2026 including GA(Ossoff-D) and MI(Peters-D) and pick up NC(Tillis-R) and ME(Collins-R if open)
In 2026 Democrats will win
MA(Markey-D or Moulton-D)
RI(Reed-D or Magaziner-D)
DE(Coons-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
IL(Durbin-D or Krishnamoorhi-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D or Polis-D)
NH(Shaheen-D or Pappas-D)
VA(Warner-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
MN(Smith-D)
MI(Peters-D)
GA(Ossoff-D) avoids a 12/2026 runoff.
NC(Jackson-D)
ME(Golden-D if he doesnt replace King in 2024.)
How does Beshear-D do against McConnell-R in KY?
IA will have 2 US Senate Elections in 2026.
Regular Election is Ernst-R
Special Election is Grassley-R(Pat Grassley succeeds his grandfather Chuck.)
There is no top tier Democrat in IA except Rob Sand who is more likely to run for Governor than the US Senate.