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Illinois

frazzled

(18,402 posts)

7. And yet polls as of today

Reply to Stellar (Original post)

Tue Mar 31, 2015, 04:04 PM

Mar 2015

Have the black vote unchanged for Emanuel, at 53%. Black support for Garcia is slightly down from 31% to 28%.

For those of you who don't live in Chicago (which I can guess is most everyone), you should understand the demographics of this city: it's 1/3 white, 1/3 black, 1/3 hispanic. If Garcia is getting only 28% of the African American vote right now, and 52% of the Latino vote (36% of Latinos are supporting Emanuel), it doesn't seem likely he can win.

Of course, a week is a long time in politics. But right now the polls are at 58% to 30% (other polls are showing a somewhat similar spread). That's a hell of a big gap to overcome.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-chicago-mayors-race-met-0331-20150330-story.html#page=1

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Highlight:

Crowd at NAACP forum cheers Garcia, jeers Emanuel [View all] Stellar Mar 2015 OP

Go, Garcia! merrily Mar 2015 #1

+1 daleanime Mar 2015 #2

Send moneybags back to the north shore! N/t Peregrine Took Mar 2015 #3

Hope the attendees are registered zentrum Mar 2015 #4

Obama still supports this bag of shit? Guess I shouldn't be surprised. Scuba Mar 2015 #5

Obama was in town just before the election in February... Stellar Mar 2015 #6

And yet polls as of today frazzled Mar 2015 #7

Tru dat. Stellar Apr 2015 #8