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DallasNE

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14. Translation, If This Growth Trend Continues In The 2nd QTR

Wed Apr 30, 2025, 12:36 PM

Apr 30

Then, we will officially be in a recession. There is no need to wait for 2026 to arrive for the recession to hit. It will have started in Trump's first 100 days. (Because the number is small -0.3%, it probably means that in January and February, the number was still slightly positive, but when it turned negative in March, it was more than enough to offset the small gains in January and February, leaving the quarter at -0.3%.)

In another post yesterday, I predicted that the recession would not start in 2026, as predicted by the experts, but in June 2025. Today's GDP news makes that obsolete. I now think it probably started in March 2025. And Trump will do nothing to lessen the blow, so I now expect that it will be a steep recession with stagflation that will be ongoing during the 2026 election.

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U.S. economy shrank 0.3% in the first quarter as Trump policy uncertainty weighed on businesses [View all] BumRushDaShow Apr 30 OP

I know you're working on PCE. mahatmakanejeeves Apr 30 #1

I had installed the Yahoo! Finance app on my idevices a couple weeks ago BumRushDaShow Apr 30 #6

if you want to read more on bloomberg use reader mode on your browser moonshinegnomie Apr 30 #7

Oh I know that little trick BumRushDaShow Apr 30 #10

It will be even worse for the 2nd quarter numbers moniss Apr 30 #2

Don't worry, everybody! The economy only contracted due to a massive increase in the trade deficit Prairie Gates Apr 30 #3

THE BEST...IS YET...TO COME!!!! Midnight Writer Apr 30 #4

Make America Grow Negatively Again IronLionZion Apr 30 #5

and the moron is blaming biden (of course) moonshinegnomie Apr 30 #8

The argument about imports is really fishy Bluetus Apr 30 #13

It Is Not The Arithmetic That Will Go In The Other Direction DallasNE Apr 30 #15

I agree with you. The economists have this backwards. Bluetus Apr 30 #19

This message was self-deleted by its author MichMan Apr 30 #9

Why are Americans taking this?? Canada Kid Apr 30 #11

With all due respect. Keep this in mind ..People who voted for Trump are Trump. chouchou Apr 30 #18

And the orange Hitler is blaming President Biden for this! kimbutgar Apr 30 #12

Translation, If This Growth Trend Continues In The 2nd QTR DallasNE Apr 30 #14

And, right on cue, he blames Biden. SergeStorms Apr 30 #16

Make America G...glub...glub..glub... LudwigPastorius Apr 30 #17

Folks, two negative quarters in a row is NOT officially a recession. The NBER is the widely accepted arbiter of when progree May 1 #20