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William769

(59,147 posts)

139. We have a secret of our own for Bernie Sanders:

Wed Jun 10, 2015, 09:02 PM

Jun 2015

Your odds in New Hampshire aren’t that good.

"Let me tell you a secret," Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) said over the weekend, foolishly outlining his secret in front of members of the media. "We’re going to win New Hampshire."

That's quite a secret! Bernie Sanders is also keeping that secret from the polls.

The New Hampshire primary is -- say it with me! -- a long time from now, and a lot can happen between now and then. There's only been one poll in the state since Sanders declared his candidacy, according to Real Clear Politics, and it gave Hillary Clinton a narrow 44-point lead over the senator from Vermont.

We'll come back to that. First, let's look at the state of play in New Hampshire back in 2008. Over the course of 2007, Hillary Clinton generally had a decent-sized lead -- as she did nationally. The race in New Hampshire tightened in August, but Clinton started to gain ground late in the year. Then Obama took Iowa and seemed poised to do the same in New Hampshire. That was the first point at which it seemed like Clinton might lose the state.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/06/09/we-have-a-secret-of-our-own-for-bernie-sanders-your-odds-in-new-hampshire-arent-that-good/

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Surprise For NYT: BERNIE IS ELECTABLE! [View all] Segami Jun 2015 OP

As a Hillary supporter, and for the record Gman Jun 2015 #1

Thank you for this Gman ... Mother Of Four Jun 2015 #142

Sanders has one big advantage Gman Jun 2015 #143

Respect. InAbLuEsTaTe Jun 2015 #152

I Will No Longer Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Jun 2015 #2

Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2015 #73

Very well said FreakinDJ Jun 2015 #102

Go Sanders! ananda Jun 2015 #3

The NYT is not surprised. Jackpine Radical Jun 2015 #4

Yes, faster than I had thought..it has been such a short amount of time since his announcement. n/t Jefferson23 Jun 2015 #90

FDR was president during my first ten years of life Thirties Child Jun 2015 #5

I hope so too. And you wouldn't have to worry about losing your Social Security, Zorra Jun 2015 #7

He's spoken of EXPANDING Social Security. merrily Jun 2015 #105

Agreed..... daleanime Jun 2015 #33

^^^this^^^ L0oniX Jun 2015 #70

That's impressive. Belated welcome to DU. merrily Jun 2015 #104

Thanks for the welcome, but I've been here since 2004. Thirties Child Jun 2015 #123

K&R! marym625 Jun 2015 #6

K&R yuiyoshida Jun 2015 #84

Conventional Wisdom edhopper Jun 2015 #8

You mean the self-avowed Socialist? That little Ross Perot Jackpine Radical Jun 2015 #92

Every post we spend defending his electability is one we lose for conveying his policies RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #9

You can't post this hifiguy Jun 2015 #10

Cut and paste is a beautiful thing! RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #29

"This is an economy that must be changed in fundamental ways." oberliner Jun 2015 #20

I think that is obvious Rosa Luxemburg Jun 2015 #23

I assume you know how to use Google, but here's a start... RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #27

He hasn't outlined the details of his tax policy yet oberliner Jun 2015 #28

I'm sure you do. n/t RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #30

Do you agree that it needs to be changed in fundamental ways? Does your candidate? rhett o rick Jun 2015 #79

I just wanted to get a sense of what he meant oberliner Jun 2015 #80

A fundamental change is when a presidential candidate tells the truth to the Ameican people. Ron Green Jun 2015 #99

Thank you! nt Stardust Jun 2015 #58

You're most welcome! RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #59

Here, here! Fairgo Jun 2015 #95

THANK YOU. merrily Jun 2015 #106

My pleasure! RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #108

Light is dawning on those who doubted that Bernie could win this election. Little by little, people sabrina 1 Jun 2015 #11

His numbers are up. Should he gain several more points, the wildfire is on. nt Eleanors38 Jun 2015 #44

I am voting for him - no more corporate candidates. nt TBF Jun 2015 #12

Amen.... daleanime Jun 2015 #34

Any REASONING mind Plucketeer Jun 2015 #38

Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2015 #77

Damn tootin! hifiguy Jun 2015 #43

Agreed - It Is Time For Change cantbeserious Jun 2015 #103

I'm with you. Bernie, the true populist in the race, is catchin fire for good reason. He's exactly what this country needs for President - corporatists need not apply. InAbLuEsTaTe Jun 2015 #154

This message was self-deleted by its author 1000words Jun 2015 #163

Count me in with the "Amen" Corner. libdem4life Jun 2015 #13

I await the day when media covers him fairly. merrily Jun 2015 #14

They won't--he is too scary for their corporate masters. truebluegreen Jun 2015 #15

True and true. merrily Jun 2015 #17

That might prove to be a very long wait... RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #21

I assume his campaign is doing that. We need to donate what we can, sign up to volunteer merrily Jun 2015 #25

+1 daleanime Jun 2015 #36

I keep mailing 5.00 checks to the PO Box TheNutcracker Jun 2015 #39

I'm mailing him a check today. Paka Jun 2015 #81

I am so sorry to learn about your sister. merrily Jun 2015 #107

But your message is much appreciated. Paka Jun 2015 #112

My sister's father in law died from ALS. Kudos to you for all you did for her. merrily Jun 2015 #114

2 things I learned over 50 yrs of political activism: Eleanors38 Jun 2015 #46

Thanks. I agree. merrily Jun 2015 #50

I think of who is pressing this idea that he needs to spend billions to be elected. I think of who Ed Suspicious Jun 2015 #55

Good point. Cui bono? is always a good question to ask in and around US politics. merrily Jun 2015 #98

He's not even close to electable ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #16

if this is true - djean111 Jun 2015 #24

I do, actually, agree with that ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #66

Heh MFrohike Jun 2015 #117

Don't kid yourself ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #124

I didn't mention Dean MFrohike Jun 2015 #128

Dean was Kerry's closest rival ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #129

Hahahaha MFrohike Jun 2015 #130

Well, you're certainly entitled to try to sell that.. ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #131

Quite a contortion there, chief MFrohike Jun 2015 #132

Comparative ads sure, but not attack ads, or attack candidates ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #133

Pure comedy MFrohike Jun 2015 #134

In truth, the main issue in 1992 was that no one thought Bush would go down... ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #135

Ok MFrohike Jun 2015 #136

Well obviously we disagree... ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #137

Heh MFrohike Jun 2015 #138

Oh my. I completely forgot Bob Kerrey ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #140

Sigh MFrohike Jun 2015 #141

You actually have facts... ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #144

I mostly forget what was going on here MFrohike Jun 2015 #145

Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2015 #72

That must be why the NRA gives Bernie an "F". djean111 Jun 2015 #74

First, the lie was that we supposedly wanted only a candidate who merrily Jun 2015 #109

Some people personally profit when we capitulate. raouldukelives Jun 2015 #118

"...he won't be able to do anything more than Obama has been." olegramps Jun 2015 #32

Bernie's different chev52 Jun 2015 #35

President Obama did not "appoint" Baucus Cosmocat Jun 2015 #48

your response heaven05 Jun 2015 #85

Thank you Cosmocat Jun 2015 #127

+1. I should hope that Bernie "won't be able to do anything more than Obama has been" Populist_Prole Jun 2015 #54

My sole comment here... Paka Jun 2015 #82

Yep Pastiche423 Jun 2015 #91

isn't that nice. a member of the reality based community coming Ed Suspicious Jun 2015 #45

I'll make you a deal, pony-wanter ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #67

I've noticed that if you have to go around telling people you're something... you may not be. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jun 2015 #151

But what about "I'm seeing it everywhere!" LordGlenconner Jun 2015 #68

ConservativeDemocrat insists liberal candidate is unelectable - stop the presses! Scootaloo Jun 2015 #88

I always insisted that the liberals Barack Obama and Hillary are electable ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #113

You give no reasoning for electability or unelectability Scootaloo Jun 2015 #115

See, this is why I point out "Reality based" in my tagline ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #125

How'd that "Reality based" shit work out for ya with Hillary in 2008? L0oniX Jun 2015 #147

Worked out fine... given that I said Obama was going to win ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #155

Settling for your second pick this time around? Good for you. Must have been a hard decision. L0oniX Jun 2015 #156

You're talking about ME picking losers?!? ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #157

Hillary did actually loose the primary. Get a clue. L0oniX Jun 2015 #160

I have the clue. It's 2016, not 2008. ConservativeDemocrat Jun 2015 #161

Enjoy voting for your "strong second" place loser. L0oniX Jun 2015 #162

LMFAO ...keep trying. L0oniX Jun 2015 #146

LOL, brilliant logic there. nt Logical Jun 2015 #158

The NYT is displaying "Beltway Wisdom".... Spitfire of ATJ Jun 2015 #18

The Sensible Centrist Woodchucks are blind and deaf hifiguy Jun 2015 #42

If you talk to them about "lobbying reform"... Spitfire of ATJ Jun 2015 #61

What is so weird is that a few months ago I was hoping that a young person LiberalArkie Jun 2015 #19

And I love that hes older. it says to me he has no interest in climbing the politicsl ladder for ow Ed Suspicious Jun 2015 #47

If this were about his personal ambition, he would have run years ago. merrily Jun 2015 #111

Someone told me a week ago "but no one knows who Bernie Sanders is" azurnoir Jun 2015 #22

Go Bernie! colsohlibgal Jun 2015 #26

Obama can't run again... chev52 Jun 2015 #31

To be utterly cynical about it, hifiguy Jun 2015 #41

I really like Hartmann, but that is not what I got from BHO Cosmocat Jun 2015 #49

My family in FLA, Chicago, Detroit, CA, NJ, AZ, are all voting for Bernie!!!! TheNutcracker Jun 2015 #37

Those in the ivory towers of the Elite Establishment hifiguy Jun 2015 #40

Not as President George II Jun 2015 #51

"good patriotic American citizens"? ucrdem Jun 2015 #52

Republicans ablamj Jun 2015 #89

I'm behind Bernie from the outset.... no waffling.. GO BERNIE! secondwind Jun 2015 #53

It's time to wake the sleeping giant Kalidurga Jun 2015 #56

Amen. clydefrand Jun 2015 #57

The more I hear and see of Bernie, the more I like him. SaranchaIsWaiting Jun 2015 #60

His smackdown of Wolfie Blitzer was a thing of beauty. hifiguy Jun 2015 #62

HUGE K & R !!! - Thank You !!! WillyT Jun 2015 #63

Kicked and recommended a whole bunch! Enthusiast Jun 2015 #64

Here's a meme: Bernie CARES. grasswire Jun 2015 #65

He has many great ideas on a wide range of topics and policies. He is a leader and Maineman Jun 2015 #69

Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2015 #71

That tactic has already been played out. Didn't you get the memo? arcane1 Jun 2015 #75

Fine. The NRA gives him an "F", though. djean111 Jun 2015 #76

Rated "F" by the NRA. moondust Jun 2015 #78

What a novel idea. Paka Jun 2015 #83

This statement says it all for me: ladyVet Jun 2015 #86

Awesome, awesome post! RiverLover Jun 2015 #87

^^^this^^^ L0oniX Jun 2015 #148

I've often found women prefer men and vice versa PatrynXX Jun 2015 #93

Terrific article dpatbrown Jun 2015 #94

So cool this is at the Top of the DU Charts !!! libdem4life Jun 2015 #96

No he isn't realFedUp Jun 2015 #97

This is the primary, not the general. merrily Jun 2015 #110

Bernie Sanders FTW! Don Draper Jun 2015 #100

So Bernie Sanders is electable because someone on Dkos says so? brooklynite Jun 2015 #101

In an election today or in an election early to mid 2016? Ed Suspicious Jun 2015 #116

Clinton/Sanders or Sanders/Clinton HoosierCowboy Jun 2015 #119

I'm guessing Oil/Water or Water/Oil would make for a more compatible ticket. n/t RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #121

We don't need to 'unite the party'. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jun 2015 #153

Excellent post! I would love to see a woman POTUS 4_TN_TITANS Jun 2015 #120

Here is what I can't stand about the Clintons BlueStreak Jun 2015 #122

K&R Big Time! 2banon Jun 2015 #126

We have a secret of our own for Bernie Sanders: William769 Jun 2015 #139

LMFAO ...keep trying. L0oniX Jun 2015 #149

Ok. William769 Jun 2015 #150

LOL, she lost a 30 point lead in 2008. She has weak support. nt Logical Jun 2015 #159