Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Sympthsical

(11,184 posts)
24. It wouldn't be impossible for Steyer to come back
Wed Jun 3, 2026, 08:59 PM
12 hrs ago

But, eh, I'm not sure how likely it is. He'd have to outperform Hilton in the remaining vote by about 11% to overtake him (I did some napkin math with the remaining 4 million votes).

So, again, not impossible. But there would have to be a giant chunk of overwhelmingly Democratic votes who also waited and voted for Steyer in the end. And while I and many others I know did exactly that, what we political junkies do and what your run of the mill voter do are frequently unaligned.

The average voter is really rather tedious and predictable.

But we'll see.

Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Why isn't it good? Math is as expected and favors Dem nominee in Nov. blm 14 hrs ago #1
Just wish it would have been someone else...... a kennedy 14 hrs ago #6
Truly UpInArms 14 hrs ago #8
Right. Te only way this works for the Guardians of Pedophiles Bluetus 11 hrs ago #40
Exactly. It looks like the perfect scenario for Dems Bluetus 12 hrs ago #31
"We can do to California what Trump did to the White House!" struggle4progress 14 hrs ago #2
Seriously?? leftieNanner 14 hrs ago #3
Hope so.....and yah, there were at least 60. a kennedy 14 hrs ago #9
And the majority of them were Bettie 12 hrs ago #16
It says something about Newsom's viability. Frasier Balzov 14 hrs ago #4
Please explain. mr715 12 hrs ago #18
Why is a Republican leading in an at-large primary? Frasier Balzov 12 hrs ago #25
It is a jungle primary, and the democratic vote is split 8 ways mr715 12 hrs ago #27
That's quite an inferential leap. Nt spooky3 12 hrs ago #28
that's not how math works Renew Deal 12 hrs ago #29
No, republican is leading because democrats split the vote. LisaL 12 hrs ago #32
You know how popular my governor is? Lifeafter70 12 hrs ago #38
But reelected with a smaller margin than his first win. Frasier Balzov 11 hrs ago #39
Newsom's biggest weakness as a presidential candidate is simply being from California fujiyamasan 11 hrs ago #42
This is good news. senseandsensibility 14 hrs ago #5
So hope you're right. a kennedy 14 hrs ago #10
Only 55% of the votes have been counted. Later votes will skew Democratic. chia 14 hrs ago #7
Not to mention Porter, Mahan and other Democats karynnj 14 hrs ago #11
It wouldn't be impossible for Steyer to come back Sympthsical 12 hrs ago #24
I won't start paying attention until Friday. haele 14 hrs ago #12
FWIW, myself and a good chunk of people I know NoveltySocks 12 hrs ago #13
Yes.....don't want him to even think he'd have a chance. a kennedy 12 hrs ago #33
California is generally a 60/40 Dem/Rep state Sympthsical 12 hrs ago #14
*fingers crossed* a kennedy 12 hrs ago #19
Yes, we saw this in 2024 fujiyamasan 11 hrs ago #41
Seriously? LisaL 12 hrs ago #15
Yup, you're right, silly me, reading clickbait headlines eh?? a kennedy 12 hrs ago #22
Hilton being in the lead is meaningless LetMyPeopleVote 12 hrs ago #17
Damn right..... a kennedy 12 hrs ago #20
Exactly. LisaL 12 hrs ago #21
*thumbs up* a kennedy 12 hrs ago #23
I aee it a little differently MerryBlooms 12 hrs ago #26
Said numerous times, but I will say it again FHRRK1 12 hrs ago #30
For the first time in a long time I did not mail in my ballot but walked it to the voting center to be counted later kimbutgar 12 hrs ago #34
It is completely unconcerning. The 6 main Dems got 56%, the 2 main Repugs got 39%. RockRaven 12 hrs ago #35
Exactly. LisaL 12 hrs ago #36
Ignore the bullshit MSM. Our jungle primary distorts reality. There were over lostincalifornia 12 hrs ago #37
Irrelevant... regnaD kciN 10 hrs ago #43
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»This isn't good. FORMER ...»Reply #24