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Wiz Imp

(10,036 posts)

21. Race To The White House awhich has a very strong track record

Reply to bigtree (Original post)

Mon Mar 30, 2026, 12:39 PM

Mar 30

currently rates Democrats chances of winning these races as follows:
(Highlighted races would be flips)

North Carolina 85%
Georgia 79%
New Hampshire 75%
Michigan 72%
Ohio 67%
Maine 62%
Alaska 43%
Texas 36%
Iowa 24%
Florida 23%

https://www.racetothewh.com/#google_vignette

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Senate Polls released this week [View all] bigtree Mar 29 OP

They can poll a rock named Sununu PhilosopherKing Mar 29 #1

Mt thought was - WTF New Hampshire? biophile Mar 29 #8

Yep, most people are putting NH in the D column already. Bluetus Mar 29 #15

While true, I live in NH and we got a rather interesting bit of political junk mail last week that apparently Vinca Mar 30 #25

I love it Miami Blue Mar 29 #2

Encouraging mikewv Mar 29 #3

I think our House win will be bigger than that. EdmondDantes_ Mar 29 #4

I hope you are right about the house mikewv Mar 29 #5

51 but we have Fetterman newdeal2 Mar 29 #6

Peltola was the Jared Golden of the Last Frontier displacedvermoter Mar 29 #9

Our house flips will be measured in the dozens Fiendish Thingy Mar 29 #7

We need 52 considering Fetterman. AZLD4Candidate Mar 29 #11

Yup, he's not voting with us and would probably switch parties if it's close mucifer Mar 29 #13

Ridiculous. He is not going to change parties. Wiz Imp Mar 29 #17

51 in the Senate might get us the simple majority but Buddyzbuddy Mar 29 #12

Fetterman will flip to keep Dems out of control. LuvLoogie Mar 29 #14

Ridiculous. Absolutely no chance of that Wiz Imp Mar 29 #16

Minnesota is not even in play at this point. Wiz Imp Mar 30 #32

Ohio? Georgia? Kentucky? Texas? Florida? South Carolina (since Graham is supposed to be underwater) AZLD4Candidate Mar 29 #10

Ridiculous Wiz Imp Mar 29 #18

You believe what you believe. I live in PA. His vote against war powers and the Constitution AZLD4Candidate Mar 30 #19

He has made exactly one vote in his 3 plus years which would have changed the result Wiz Imp Mar 30 #20

Democrats said the same thing about Sinema when she did the same crap until the bridge too far AZLD4Candidate Mar 30 #22

Not remotely true. From day one Sinema made many more bad votes Wiz Imp Mar 30 #23

I'm not going down this rabbit hole. Fetterman lost me completely on his vote to overturn the war powers AZLD4Candidate Mar 30 #24

Talaric doesn't have an oppenent yet. ananda Mar 30 #29

Race To The White House awhich has a very strong track record Wiz Imp Mar 30 #21

We need AK or TX to get to 51 mikewv Mar 30 #27

Democrats chances in Ohio, Alaska, Texas, Iowa & Florida have gone way up in the past 6 months Wiz Imp Mar 30 #30

Agree! nm mikewv Mar 30 #31

Platner is a house of cards. RandySF Mar 30 #26

Like ananda Mar 30 #28