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carpetbagger

(5,335 posts)
22. But a long generation to get there.
Fri May 23, 2025, 01:10 PM
May 23

Ceaucescu was popular in the 1960s and 1970s. By 1989 he was in power for 25 years, communism and rationing, and he himself, were deeply unpopular and unpopular for a long time in a way that Trump isn't yet. He governed by secret police and quasi-legal arrest/prosecution, so a massacre was a sign of desperation, it happened when his personality cult, police powers, and goon squads has all failed him.

Trump's not there. He just won a marginally free election, after we already knew his character in government. The parts that were hinky (plutocratic influence, voter deregistration, etc) are in place, but media control is a tool that will keep a dictator viable at 30-35 percent real popularity.

If I had to bet (and I kind of am betting, I'm avoiding D.C. although I'll be in Maryland next month and my partner wants to see. D.C., I'm also planning on emigrating to Canada next year)... I think a shooting into a crowd would likely kill 20 people, maybe less. Likely just a big Kent State, something that the president's party survives and runs on with success, maybe like countless race massacres in America. In this case, I think it has Reichstag fire-type effects with consolidation of police power under Trump. Less likely but more concerning to me immediately is a Rwanda-scale national race riot, or a national Tulsa.

He became president twice bragging about being able to shoot people on 5th Avenue with impunity. I wish we were better people. We're not.

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