Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

muriel_volestrangler

(104,353 posts)
45. External academics estimate even more - 40% more in the first nine months
Mon May 19, 2025, 10:14 AM
May 2025
Gaza death toll 40% higher than official number, Lancet study finds

Analysis estimates death toll by end of June was 64,260, with 59% being women, children and people over 65

Research published in the Lancet medical journal estimates that the death toll in Gaza during the first nine months of the Israel-Hamas war was about 40% higher than numbers recorded by the Palestinian territory’s health ministry.

The peer-reviewed statistical analysis was conducted by academics at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Yale University and other institutions, using a statistical method called capture-recapture analysis.

The researchers sought to assess the death toll from Israel’s air and ground campaign in Gaza between October 2023 and the end of June 2024, estimating 64,260 deaths due to traumatic injury during this period. The study said 59.1% were women, children and people over the age of 65. It did not provide an estimate of Palestinian combatants among the dead.

Up to 30 June last year, the health ministry in Gaza reported a death toll of 37,877 in the war, which began on 7 October 2023 after the Hamas-led attack on southern Israel in which 1,200 people were killed and more than 250 taken hostages.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jan/10/gaza-death-toll-40-higher-than-official-number-lancet-study-finds

Recommendations

3 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

with Western complicity malaise May 2025 #1
"Palestinian health officials said" Mountainguy May 2025 #2
"According to the UN human rights chief" David__77 May 2025 #4
You think the UN has Mountainguy May 2025 #5
I think Israel has killed thousands of children in Gaza. David__77 May 2025 #6
"According to Gaza Health Officials" Mountainguy May 2025 #7
It's amazing, isn't it? BuddhaGirl May 2025 #9
The pushback is on the lies that accompany the reports. Beastly Boy May 2025 #11
It's ethnic cleansing BuddhaGirl May 2025 #16
The world sees what's on social media, a rather dubious source for facts. Beastly Boy May 2025 #20
"That some here would quibble with "sources." EX500rider May 2025 #15
I understand that some BuddhaGirl May 2025 #17
Until the Gazans are actually forced out of Gaza it's not happening EX500rider May 2025 #18
Tell that to the almost million people forced out of the north AloeVera May 2025 #51
Who says they're never allowed to come back? EX500rider May 2025 #57
Post removed Post removed May 2025 #58
I used to believe in fairy tales... AloeVera May 2025 #63
Exactly! BuddhaGirl May 2025 #62
Who said they can never come back? EX500rider May 2025 #67
Do I have to spell it out? AloeVera May 2025 #69
Lots of places have been been destroyed way beyond Gaza's level and still have people there to this day EX500rider May 2025 #72
Did the U.S go in and destroy everything left standing afterwards? AloeVera May 2025 #89
Just because Smotrich said it does not make it true, he's a far right nut job EX500rider May 2025 #90
They won't be standing for long. AloeVera May 2025 #91
And the *stated* aim of Hamas - to eradicate Israel and kill all Jews Mossfern May 2025 #19
You speak the truth. David__77 May 2025 #23
As do you BuddhaGirl May 2025 #60
When choosing sides, history is not beholden to anyone's predictions. Beastly Boy May 2025 #24
Alleged, by Israel. Eko May 2025 #27
"Journalists" Mountainguy May 2025 #29
This message was self-deleted by its author Eko May 2025 #32
I have to say its an interesting time when liberals try to explain away the killing of journalists. Eko May 2025 #38
Its an interesting time when Mountainguy May 2025 #47
Alleged by Israel. Eko May 2025 #81
Do you really believe there are that many independent journalists Mountainguy May 2025 #86
Independent journalist is a far cry from Far right religious radical killers masquerading as journalists. Eko May 2025 #88
A fucking hypocrite Beastly Boy May 2025 #10
The UN Security Council has certainly been party to terrorism. David__77 May 2025 #12
My analogy was in response to Mr. Turk's remark. Beastly Boy May 2025 #13
Perhaps the US should withdraw from the UN. David__77 May 2025 #25
If what you said is true, that would be one option to consider. Beastly Boy May 2025 #33
Israel enabled hamas regime in Gaza also. As for the UN its alleged terrorist employed. They did not admit to it at all Eko May 2025 #28
Lol Mountainguy May 2025 #30
I'm not upset that they arent allowing in millions of dollars in briefcases now. Eko May 2025 #31
Are you upset about UNRWA distributing pro-Hamas genocidal propaganda to Gazan schoolchildren? Beastly Boy May 2025 #34
Yeah I dont like that. Eko May 2025 #37
Gazan civilians beg to differ. Beastly Boy May 2025 #66
My bad. UN only fired their employees, Beastly Boy May 2025 #35
Its amazing how eager you are to believe a authoritarian governments accusations. Eko May 2025 #36
What a coincidence, I detect a pattern too! Beastly Boy May 2025 #39
Germany, Italy, Australia, Canada, Finland, Japan, Switzerland, the Netherlands, and Austria all reinstated muriel_volestrangler May 2025 #46
The claims of Israeli government were backed up by Hamas' own records Beastly Boy May 2025 #65
But you somehow leave out that the UK, Japan, Germany, Italy, Australia and Canada have resumed funding. Eko May 2025 #82
Read Post #65, the one right above yours. Beastly Boy May 2025 #83
Since I dont crave your attention at all Eko May 2025 #84
As you very well know, UN has zero credibility. NoRethugFriends May 2025 #52
The UN has plenty of credibility with the world at large. muriel_volestrangler May 2025 #54
It's amazing to see you ignore what has been obvious. NoRethugFriends May 2025 #61
External academics estimate even more - 40% more in the first nine months muriel_volestrangler May 2025 #45
A deeply flawed study Mountainguy May 2025 #48
And that paper's estimate is extremely close to the Ministry of Health's figures muriel_volestrangler May 2025 #53
Gee....maybe because they Mountainguy May 2025 #55
We are viewing it in real time on our phones womanofthehills May 2025 #56
Maybe, just maybe if HAMAs had stayed on their side of the border and honored the cease fire, MarineCombatEngineer May 2025 #59
You see what Hamas wants you to Mountainguy May 2025 #64
Murderers committing war crimes who should be in the ICC dock. Ping Tung May 2025 #3
THIS! AloeVera May 2025 #79
Can't be upset about it with out knowing how many were Hamas.. EX500rider May 2025 #8
Gen. George Patton said it best: MarineCombatEngineer May 2025 #44
8,304 women killed as of March. AloeVera May 2025 #49
Why would I only pick only Gaza to be "upset" about? EX500rider May 2025 #68
Because unlike the others, it's your own government funding it... AloeVera May 2025 #70
So if Israel only used locally made munitions you wouldn't care? Strange take IMO EX500rider May 2025 #71
We were talking about why YOU should care. AloeVera May 2025 #73
30% of UNRWA funding comes from the US taxpayers. Beastly Boy May 2025 #78
"For one, if you are American, your government is complicit." EX500rider May 2025 #80
Hamas saya. nt LexVegas May 2025 #14
No. Verified and identified. AloeVera May 2025 #50
It's amazing how irredeemably, almost cartoonishly evil Rob H. May 2025 #21
That's an excellent description. The willful murderousness and delight in annihilation of that state. David__77 May 2025 #22
That's their descriptions in the media. Unbelievably cartoonish. Beastly Boy May 2025 #26
Trump just wants everyone gone so they leftyladyfrommo May 2025 #40
This thread really must be something... I can only see 6 responses. n/t demmiblue May 2025 #41
Same here nt Rob H. May 2025 #42
Call it whatever you want to call it Johnny2X2X May 2025 #43
There's 72 replies and I can only see 7 of them. Crunchy Frog May 2025 #74
You may have some prolific posters on ignore? AloeVera May 2025 #75
Yes I do. I can't deal with a "progressive" discussion board where so many defend the indefensible. Crunchy Frog May 2025 #76
I know. Soon I will be where you are. AloeVera May 2025 #77
Trump has been completely impotent in his promises to bring about peace... AntiFascist May 2025 #85
People in Gaza are starving. Israel is committing genocide. Autumn May 2025 #87
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Israel accused of ethnic ...»Reply #45