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Foreign Affairs
Related: About this forumPutin's War Economy Collapses After Tuapse Strike - Jason Jay Smart
Ukraines precision drone strike has obliterated the Tuapse oil terminal, triggering a rapid contraction in Russias Black Sea war economy and exposing the systemic rot degrading Putins military effectiveness from within. This is not just a tactical hit; it is a strategic degradation of the Kremlins funding pipeline.
The vulnerability was self-inflicted. To sustain a costly push at Pokrovsk, Russia stripped elite air defenses from high-value assets at home, leaving Tuapse exposed. Ukrainian operators exploited that gap with a coordinated, multi-wave strike that halted loading operations, stranded tankers at anchorage, and raised additional war-risk insurance premiums for vessels in the eastern Black Sea.
As transport costs rise and cargo schedules slip, the revenue crunch ripples through procurement, repair cycles, and regional subsidies that keep the war machine turning. Inside the force, reports of commanders monetizing soldiers via unlawful detention and forced-labor schemes illustrate how profit logic thrives when oversight and cash tighten.
The result is a closed loop of decline: a failing offensive drains defenses; exposed infrastructure is struck; export cash flows shrink; corruption accelerates; combat power erodes. This analysis follows money, logistics, and morale to show how energy targeting and asymmetric pressure unravel a regimes capacity to sustain war over time.
Watch next for insurer listings that widen listed-area surcharges in the Black Sea, visible S-400 and Pantsir redeployments toward coastal corridors, tanker route deviations through the Bosporus, and renewed sabotage against rail or substation nodes feeding export terminals.
CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro
01:37 - Why Russia's Military Never Fails to Impress
05:29 - The Potemkin Village Military: Inside Russia's Hollow Core
06:04 - Why Russian Tank Cages Are an 'Iron Coffin' Disaster
06:55 - Deception & Slavery: Russia Recruiting from the Third World
07:36 - Putin's Unwinnable Three Front War: Ukraine's Genius Strategy
14:21 - Systemic Collapse: Partisan Sabotage & S-400 Triumf Destroyed
18:12 - Outro
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Putin's War Economy Collapses After Tuapse Strike - Jason Jay Smart (Original Post)
TexasTowelie
Monday
OP
Deuxcents
(24,729 posts)1. Is TSF gonna bail his buddy out, too?
Norrrm
(3,397 posts)2. For many, many years, Russia's strategy has included attrition of troops, sustainable by more troops.
Losses of these economic giants in their economy are not sustainable.
Same with losses of large-scale war machinery such as fighter jets and bombers.