Russia's War Machine Fractures in Real Time - Jason Jay Smart

[TexasTowelie]

On the night of November 1–2, 2025, Russia’s war system broke across three fronts simultaneously. Tuapse’s oil terminal, where refined fuel becomes export revenue, erupted in flames, taking the shadow-fleet tanker CHAI with it. Hours later, Port Kavkaz ignited near the Kerch Strait, choking Crimea’s supply artery. Inland, power substations at Gryazi and Zheleznogorsk collapsed, cutting 4.5 GW, enough to darken three million homes and stall the rail network feeding the front.

The dollar figure does not matter. What matters is the loop: when exports stop, trains stall. When trains stall, shells do not reach the front. When shells do not arrive, soldiers refuse suicidal orders. This is how systems collapse, not from one big hit, but from synchronized pressure that breaks the connections holding everything together.

This is the smuta Putin fears most, not NATO weapons, but the moment his own system stops believing in itself. Jason Smart, blacklisted by the Kremlin for exposing regime fractures, traces the mechanism of failure: oil terminal fires that freeze cash flow, grid strikes that halt transport, and a battlefield morale collapse that no propaganda can repair.

Censors now threaten citizens for filming the fires. State TV stages submarine launches and “reconstruction” shows in occupied Mariupol, where reports suggest plans to reopen the Drama Theater, the same site of the 2022 mass-casualty strike, to project control. But pageantry does not refuel tankers or restore power.

Watch the tanker queues off Tuapse, the grid reroutes around Gryazi, and the rotation delays near Pokrovsk. When those timelines stretch together, the system is not just damaged, it is breaking in real time.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro
01:02 - The Strategic Attack on Tuapse Port: Russia's Fuel Nightmare
03:45 - The Shadow Fleet is Burning: Ukraine Enforces “Sanctions”
05:20 - Kerch Chokepoint Tightens: Coordinated Port Attacks
06:31 - Russia's Power Grid Collapses: Military Impact of Blackouts
08:13 - Russian Soldiers Desert & Partisan Attacks Hit Fuel Trains
11:01 - New Drone Fundraiser: Double Your Impact
12:08 - The Economic Squeeze: Why Russia is Losing the War
13:09 - Outro

[calimary]

1. Wow! Most interesting reading.

[Norrrm]

2. "smuta" - Always something new to learn.

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