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progree

(12,165 posts)
Tue Mar 4, 2025, 12:04 PM Mar 2025

S&P 500 closed Friday 8/1 at 6238, down 1.6% for the day, and up 6.1% year-to-date. Huge downward revisions in job nbrs

This discussion thread is pinned.

Last edited Fri Aug 1, 2025, 04:49 PM - Edit history (134)

Year to date is from the Dec 31 closing level.

https://finance.yahoo.com/

Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq tank as market confidence cracks under Trump tariffs, weak jobs data, Yahoo Finance 8/1/25

US stocks sank on Friday after President Trump officially hit virtually every US trading partner with sweeping tariff hikes and the July jobs report showed signs of a labor market slowdown.

All three major averages ((S&P 500, DOW, NASDAQ)) notched weekly declines of more than 2%.

The retreat in stocks came as the July jobs report released Friday morning showed weaker-than-anticipated jobs growth, with the economy adding some 73,000 jobs, versus 104,000 expected. The prior two readings were also revised down sharply ((by a combined incredible 258,000 jobs -Progree)) , indicating the labor market has been slowing down over the past three months ((no kidding with the revisions, the job gains of the last 3 months only averaged 35,000 jobs/month -Progree)).

President Trump said he will fire the Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner following the July report, accusing her of manipulating prints for political purposes.((emphasis added -P))
((NBC News confirmed she has been fired, so this isn't a TACO thing -Progree))

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury (^TNX) dived following the jobs data as traders ramped up bets on interest rate cuts this year.

Meanwhile, markets assessed the reshaped US trade landscape after Trump on Thursday hit dozens of countries — including crucial partners Taiwan and India — with steep new tariffs.

His executive order formally authorized a hike in levies on Canada to 35%, to go into effect on Friday. Most of the other "reciprocal" rates range from 15% to 40% (though the baseline remains 10%) and will be implemented in seven days.

============================================================
Jobs report LBN thread: https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143505265

Fed Governor Kugler says resigning from Fed effective Aug 8, (several months in advance of her tenure ending at the end of January). As a governor, Kugler was a permanent voter on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143505602


=============================================
The S&P 500 closed Friday July 1 at 6238, down 1.6% for the day,
and up 7.9% from the 5783 election day closing level,
and up 4.0% from the inauguration eve closing level,
and up 6.1% year-to-date,

S&P 500
# Election day close (11/5/24) 5783
# Last close before inauguration day: (1/17/25): 5997
# 2024 year-end close (12/31/24): 5882
# All-time closing high (2/19/25): 6144, until 6/27/25 when it closed at 6173
. . . With the new all-time high closing on June 27, we are in a bull market by any and all definitions
# Trump II era low point (going all the way back to election day Nov5): 4983 on April 8

# Several market indexes: https://finance.yahoo.com/
# S&P 500: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/

========================================================

I'm not a fan of the DOW as it is a cherry-picked collection of just 30 stocks that are price-weighted, which is silly. But since there is an automatically updating embedded graphic, here it is. It takes several, like 6 hours, after the close for it to update, like about 10 PM EDT.
(If it still isn't updated, try right-clicking on it and opening in a new tab. #OR# click on https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/ ).

The Dow closed Thursday at 44,131, and it closed Friday at 43,589, a drop of 1.2% (542 points) for the day

It closed last Wednesday, July 23, just 4 points below its 45,014 all-time high set in December. But now it's 1,425 points away from that.



I don't maintain statistics for the DOW like percent up or down since election day, or year-to-date, or from the all-time high etc. like I do for the S&P 500.

DJIA means Dow Jones Industrials Average. It takes about 6 hours after the close to update, so check it after 10 PM EDT


https://finance.yahoo.com/
DOW: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/
. . . . . . https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/history/

DOW
# Election day close (11/5/24) 42,222
# Last close before inauguration day: (1/17/25): 43,488
# 2024 year-end close (12/31/24): 42,544
# DOW All Time High: 12/4/24: 45,014

# Correction level beginning 10% down: 40,513,
# Bear market level: beginning 20% down: 36,011 (we've not reached that level yet in Trump II so far)

I don't have an embeddable graph for the S&P 500, unfortunately, but to see its graph, click on https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

While I'm at it, I might as well show Oil and the Dollar:

Crude Oil


US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB)


If you see a tiny graphics square above and no graph, right click on the square and choose "load image". There should be a total of 3 graphs. And remember that it typically takes about 6 hours after the close before these graphs update.
14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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S&P 500 closed Friday 8/1 at 6238, down 1.6% for the day, and up 6.1% year-to-date. Huge downward revisions in job nbrs (Original Post) progree Mar 2025 OP
Kicking for the milestone update - S&P 500's first close below the election day close. How major indexes fared: progree Mar 2025 #1
Kicking: update for Thurs. March 6 close. The "Trump Trade" is back underwater after losing 1.8% for the day (S&P 500) progree Mar 2025 #2
Kicking: Update: S&P 500 closed Friday at 5770, up 0.5% for the day but still below the election day close progree Mar 2025 #3
Update: S&P 500 closed Monday 3/10 at 5615, down 2.7% for the day and 2.9% below the election day close progree Mar 2025 #4
Update: S&P 500 closed Tuesday 3/11 at 5572, down 0.8% for the day, briefly fell into correction territory progree Mar 2025 #5
S&P 500 closed Wednesday 3/12 at 5599, up 0.5% for the day, but down 3.2% since election day progree Mar 2025 #6
Update: S&P 500 closed Thursday at 5522, down 1.4% for the day, and MORE THAN 10% down from the all-time high progree Mar 2025 #7
Update: S&P 500 closed Friday at 5639, up 2.1% for the day, and down 2.5% since election day progree Mar 2025 #8
Update: S&P 500 closed Monday at 5675, up 0.6% for the day, and down 1.9% since election day progree Mar 2025 #9
Update: S&P 500 closed Tuesday at 5615, down 1.1% for the day, and down 2.9% since election day progree Mar 2025 #10
S&P 500 closed Tuesday 3/25 at 5777, up 0.2% for the day, down 0.1% since election day, down 6.0% from ATH progree Mar 2025 #11
S&P 500 closed Wednesday 4/02 at 5671, up 0.7% for the day, down 1.9% since election day, down 7.7% from ATH progree Apr 2025 #12
We're nearing the top. Arizona78 Jul 4 #13
Krugman Arizona78 Jul 4 #14

progree

(12,165 posts)
1. Kicking for the milestone update - S&P 500's first close below the election day close. How major indexes fared:
Tue Mar 4, 2025, 05:11 PM
Mar 2025

Last edited Tue Mar 4, 2025, 05:51 PM - Edit history (1)

How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday, AP, 3/4/2025
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/major-us-stock-indexes-fared-211928579.html

Here's the Year-to-date ones from the article:
# S&P 500: down 1.8%
# Dow: down 0.1%
# Nasdaq down: 5.3%
# Russell 2000 (the small caps): down 6.8%

Not in the article is that the S&P 500 is down 5.9% from its all time closing high of 6144 on Feb 19.

progree

(12,165 posts)
2. Kicking: update for Thurs. March 6 close. The "Trump Trade" is back underwater after losing 1.8% for the day (S&P 500)
Thu Mar 6, 2025, 05:44 PM
Mar 2025

See OP for the statistics.

progree

(12,165 posts)
3. Kicking: Update: S&P 500 closed Friday at 5770, up 0.5% for the day but still below the election day close
Fri Mar 7, 2025, 06:35 PM
Mar 2025

See OP for details

progree

(12,165 posts)
4. Update: S&P 500 closed Monday 3/10 at 5615, down 2.7% for the day and 2.9% below the election day close
Mon Mar 10, 2025, 04:20 PM
Mar 2025

see OP for details.

progree

(12,165 posts)
5. Update: S&P 500 closed Tuesday 3/11 at 5572, down 0.8% for the day, briefly fell into correction territory
Tue Mar 11, 2025, 04:22 PM
Mar 2025

Details in OP.

progree

(12,165 posts)
6. S&P 500 closed Wednesday 3/12 at 5599, up 0.5% for the day, but down 3.2% since election day
Wed Mar 12, 2025, 05:20 PM
Mar 2025

See OP for details, and a graph of the DOW.

progree

(12,165 posts)
7. Update: S&P 500 closed Thursday at 5522, down 1.4% for the day, and MORE THAN 10% down from the all-time high
Thu Mar 13, 2025, 04:19 PM
Mar 2025

Details in the OP.

progree

(12,165 posts)
8. Update: S&P 500 closed Friday at 5639, up 2.1% for the day, and down 2.5% since election day
Fri Mar 14, 2025, 04:23 PM
Mar 2025

Details in the OP.

progree

(12,165 posts)
9. Update: S&P 500 closed Monday at 5675, up 0.6% for the day, and down 1.9% since election day
Mon Mar 17, 2025, 05:48 PM
Mar 2025

Details in OP.

progree

(12,165 posts)
10. Update: S&P 500 closed Tuesday at 5615, down 1.1% for the day, and down 2.9% since election day
Tue Mar 18, 2025, 04:16 PM
Mar 2025

Details in OP.

progree

(12,165 posts)
11. S&P 500 closed Tuesday 3/25 at 5777, up 0.2% for the day, down 0.1% since election day, down 6.0% from ATH
Tue Mar 25, 2025, 10:03 PM
Mar 2025

Details in OP. ATH is All Time High. I don't kick this every market day, but it's been several days, and it's gotten well down on the listings, so I decided to kick it. It looks like the Trump slump since election day is about at an end, only 0.1% down since election day, and with 3 straight market days of gains. Since inauguration day, its down 3.7%.

progree

(12,165 posts)
12. S&P 500 closed Wednesday 4/02 at 5671, up 0.7% for the day, down 1.9% since election day, down 7.7% from ATH
Wed Apr 2, 2025, 04:46 PM
Apr 2025

ATH is All Time High. Details in OP including more comparisons like down 5.4% since pre-inauguration day, and down 3.6% year-to-date.

I don't kick this every market day, but it's been several days, and it's gotten well down on the listings, so I decided to kick it. Note this closing is moments before the announcement of "Liberation Day" tariffs, so it's a good benchmark to compare to what follows in the next few days.

Arizona78

(8 posts)
13. We're nearing the top.
Fri Jul 4, 2025, 03:09 AM
Jul 4

Trump’s bill could soon trigger a repo market crisis and push America and much of the world—toward bankruptcy. Something massive is on the horizon. Get ready.

Arizona78

(8 posts)
14. Krugman
Fri Jul 4, 2025, 03:21 AM
Jul 4

Paul Krugman is deeply concerned about the uncontrolled rise in debt, which could sharply push up interest rates leading to bankruptcy.

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/trumps-big-beautiful-debt-bomb

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