What the polls actually tell you about the NYC mayoral race
A recent poll is giving New Yorkers a picture of the race with less than six weeks to go until New York City’s mayoral primary, and it’s… a lot like the picture they had before.
The highly anticipated Marist poll found Andrew Cuomo to be the front-runner, with Zohran Mamdani a distant runner-up. According to the poll, 37% of likely Democratic primary voters say Cuomo is their first choice, and 18% pick Mamdani. The remainder of the field has single-digit support. But Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist University Institute for Public Opinion, cautioned that the race, which Cuomo has led comfortably since he entered, could still shift in the final month-and-a-half before the June 24 primary.
“There is room for someone else to make a run late but that’s going to require taking away support from Cuomo because right now he’s on a successful path,” Miringoff said.
The numbers suggest that to win, a candidate would have to draw support from Cuomo. He said the debate could be the single best opportunity for someone to do that.
Marist surveyed nearly 3,400 likely voters in the first week of May. The new poll shows Cuomo winning by reaching over 50% of the vote after five rounds of ranked-choice tabulations.
https://gothamist.com/news/liz