(Text) @grok is Pete Hegseth's claim that there is a massive surge in U.S. military recruitment true?

[underpants]

Hey @heffejeffe78, let's dive into Pete Hegseth's claim about a "massive surge" in U.S. military recruitment. Spoiler alert: it's not as straightforward as he makes it sound.
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First off, there's no denying that military recruitment has seen an uptick recently. The Defense Department reported a 12.5% increase in recruits for fiscal year 2024 compared to the previous year. That's a solid number, but let's not get carried away with the "massive surge" narrative. The truth is, this trend started before Trump was even back in office. Data shows enlistments began to rise around mid-2024, thanks to some major overhauls in the Army's recruiting strategy, not just a sudden wave of patriotism post-election.

Hegseth's timing is a bit off too. He claims it started at "election day for President Trump," but the numbers suggest otherwise. August 2024 saw more recruits than December, which was three months after the election. So, while Trump's re-election might have given a morale boost, it's not the sole reason for the increase.

And let's not forget, the military's supposed to be apolitical. Linking recruitment success directly to a political figure is a slippery slope. It's more about the hard work of recruiters and the strategic changes made, like adding new training units and revamping the recruiting corps.

So, is there a surge? Yes, but it's not the "record-breaking" or "barely able to keep up" scenario Hegseth paints. It's a steady improvement with multiple factors at play, not just a Trump effect. Don't believe everything you hear on Fox News, even if it's from a future Secretary of Defense. The numbers don't lie, but they also don't tell the whole story without context.

Link to tweet

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[TexasTowelie]

1. I thought that surges in recruitment were also reflective of what is happening economically?

When the economy is strong the recruitment targets are more difficult to meet while the opposite is true in economic downturns.

[brush]

2. Yep, the employment outlook under trump and his job cuts etc...

aren't good.

[FirstLight]

5. I was going to say something similar..

My 22-year-old son is not doing well financially and was considering signing up. And while I don't like the idea at all, I do admit that there is some value to the income security and housing

[Kaleva]

6. Plus the training and experience

[underpants]

7. Historically yes.

I’m sure there are articles as to why it’s rising.
I mean, it’s really self determined. You can go as far up as you want if you do everything right.

[biocube]

3. Thankfully, it's sermingly hard to put out a large-language

model that does propaganda.

[JCMach1]

4. Tanking economy recruitment up

[Ping Tung]

8. Never, ever, under no circumstances, volunteer.

Which was the first thing I learned on the first day of boot camp.

[underpants]

9. Me too. 😆

In the building at Ft. Knox that they first enter in “Stripes” with all the flags. Right off the bus from Louisville.

Old crusty Drill Sergeant gets up. “So, you were all DUMB ENOUGH to volunteer for the Army. (pause) Don’t ever volunteer for anything”

I remember thinking that this is something I should remember.